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Don't let cool spring fool you, experts say global warming is a fact

YAKIMA, Wash. -- With this year's heavy snowpack and a cool, wet spring that has delayed some harvests, it might be tempting to conclude that global warming isn't an issue in the Yakima Valley.

But some of the state's most respected climate experts say the planet is still warming as carbon dioxide levels rise faster than ever, and the results have major implications for the region.

Polar oceanographer Miles McPhee said unusual temperatures, plus the recent increase in tornadoes and storms nationally, indicate of a growing imbalance in the earth's weather patterns, caused by a rapid increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and the oceans.

"You can tie that to the energy we've been seeing in these storms," said McPhee, a Naches resident and graduate of Stanford University and the University of Washington. "The earth has to address this imbalance by moving heat around, and it's doing it in a way that might not be advantageous for us."

It's true that temperatures in the Pacific Northwest have been cooler than average this year, but McPhee said temperatures in the Southwest have been higher than average.

Although recent years have seen wider variations with hotter and colder temperatures and different levels of precipitation, experts say it's just a matter of time before the definite impacts of global warming overtake those trends.

Water shortages in Yakima Basin reservoirs caused by less snow could become more frequent as early as the next decade, according to a report by the Climate Impacts Group at the University of Washington. Nearly a third of the years between 2020 and 2030 would see water shortages in the valley, according to the report.

And that would increase to as much as 77 percent in the decade following 2080, according to the report.

It's a major concern to junior water rights holders such as Sunnyside grower Charlie de La Chapelle, who says even two consecutive droughts would kill his business.

"Most growers worry about it to a limited extent," de La Chapelle said. "I have quite a bit more confidence in the prognostications."

Many researchers once argued longer growing seasons and other results of climate change would be good for agriculture, but McPhee says that school of thought is shrinking.

"They're finding out it's not," he said. "It's more than offset by the higher temperatures in the growing regions."

Climate change will also result in longer life cycles for invasive pests, such as insects and weeds, said Kirk Cook, a hydrogeologist and top climate official with the state Department of Agriculture.

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